Cincinnati vs Iowa State prediction for November 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Iowa State 31.8 - Cincinnati 29.3. Iowa State is favored with a 56.5% win probability. The spread is -2.5 and the total is 58.5.
Iowa State
31.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 58.5
Cincinnati
29.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
Iowa StateCincinnati
-2.5
Spread (Iowa State)
58.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.0% (1,261 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Cincinnati
222937
Iowa State
253239
Market Lines
Spread
Iowa State -2.5
Total
58.5
Moneyline
-130
Away +110
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →