Ghim, Doug vs Harman, Brian prediction for July 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Harman, Brian 91 - Ghim, Doug 93. Ghim, Doug is favored with a 62.1% win probability. The spread is -0.11.
Harman, Brian
+0.73
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Genesis Scottish Open
Ghim, Doug
+0.62
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Harman, BrianGhim, Doug
-111
Best Odds
+18.1%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Ghim, Doug
8693100
Harman, Brian
849198
Tournament Context
Event
Genesis Scottish Open
Course
The Renaissance Club
Field
156 players
Wind
16 mph
Temp
65°F
Conditions
harder (+0.9)
Player Profile — Ghim, Doug
Strokes Gained
+0.62/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.065 SG adj
Expected Finish
93th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Ghim, Doug
+0.62 SG
EF 93th
Skill Gap
-0.11 SG/round
tight edge for Harman, Brian
Harman, Brian
+0.73 SG
EF 91th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
62.1%
Books Say
52.6%
Edge
+18.1%
Ghim, Doug vs Harman, Brian: Model gives Ghim, Doug 62.1% win probability vs 52.6% implied (+18.1% edge). Skill advantage: -0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 93.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Ghim, Doug 62.1%
+18.1 pts
Spread
-0.1
+18.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →