Greyserman, Max vs Taylor, Nick prediction for July 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Taylor, Nick 96 - Greyserman, Max 98. Greyserman, Max is favored with a 60.8% win probability. The spread is -0.48.
Taylor, Nick
+0.84
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Genesis Scottish Open
Greyserman, Max
+0.32
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Taylor, NickGreyserman, Max
-112
Best Odds
+15.1%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Greyserman, Max
9198105
Taylor, Nick
8996103
Tournament Context
Event
Genesis Scottish Open
Course
The Renaissance Club
Field
156 players
Wind
16 mph
Temp
65°F
Conditions
harder (+0.9)
Player Profile — Greyserman, Max
Strokes Gained
+0.32/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.163 SG adj
Expected Finish
98th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Greyserman, Max
+0.32 SG
EF 98th
Skill Gap
-0.48 SG/round
meaningful edge for Taylor, Nick
Taylor, Nick
+0.84 SG
EF 96th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
60.8%
Books Say
52.8%
Edge
+15.1%
Greyserman, Max vs Taylor, Nick: Model gives Greyserman, Max 60.8% win probability vs 52.8% implied (+15.1% edge). Skill advantage: -0.48 SG/round. Expected finish: 98.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Greyserman, Max 60.8%
+15.1 pts
Spread
-0.5
+15.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →