Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Hojgaard, Rasmus prediction for July 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hojgaard, Rasmus 115 - Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 103. Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus is favored with a 59.6% win probability. The spread is -0.05.
Hojgaard, Rasmus
+0.27
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Genesis Scottish Open
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.16
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hojgaard, RasmusNeergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+110
Best Odds
+25.3%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
96103110
Hojgaard, Rasmus
108115122
Tournament Context
Event
Genesis Scottish Open
Course
The Renaissance Club
Field
156 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
66°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
Strokes Gained
+0.16/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.187 SG adj
Expected Finish
103th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.16 SG
EF 103th
Skill Gap
-0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Hojgaard, Rasmus
+0.27 SG
EF 115th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
59.6%
Books Say
47.6%
Edge
+25.3%
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Hojgaard, Rasmus: Model gives Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 59.6% win probability vs 47.6% implied (+25.3% edge). Expected finish: 103.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 59.6%
+25.3 pts
Spread
-0.1
+25.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →