Dorado vs Conviction prediction for July 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Conviction 2 - Dorado 0. Conviction is favored with a 69.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Conviction
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
Dorado
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ConvictionDorado
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.6% (13,334 games)
Team Profiles
Dorado
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
49%
Elo: 1500 · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Conviction
Early
57%
Mid
58%
Late
58%
Elo: 1637 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Score Distribution
Dorado winsConviction wins
0-2
39.6%
1-2
29.8%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
18.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.35
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.