League of Legends

Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports Prediction

July 31, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports prediction for July 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects MVK Esports 1 - Team Secret Whales 2. Team Secret Whales is favored with a 57.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).

MVK Esports
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LCP
Team Secret Whales
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
42.7%
57.3%
MVK EsportsTeam Secret Whales
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.4% (12,954 games)

Team Profiles

Team Secret Whales
Elo: 1589 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 10-10 (50%)
MVK Esports
Elo: 1528 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 7-4 (64%)

Score Distribution

Team Secret Whales winsMVK Esports wins
0-2
20.6%
1-2
22.2%
2-0
28.0%
2-1
29.2%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.32

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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