League of Legends

Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy Prediction

July 21, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy prediction for July 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects paiN Gaming Academy 0 - Estral Esports 1. Estral Esports is favored with a 56.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-0 (Best of 1).

paiN Gaming Academy
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • CD
Estral Esports
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
43.5%
56.5%
paiN Gaming AcademyEstral Esports
1-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALpaiN Gaming Academy 0 — Estral Esports 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.9% (11,374 games)

Team Profiles

Estral Esports
Elo: 1541 · Record: 8-7 (53%)
paiN Gaming Academy
Elo: 1479 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 7-8 (47%)

Score Distribution

Estral Esports winspaiN Gaming Academy wins
0-1
49.1%
1-0
50.9%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.2%Draft -0.1%Phase -0.4%Context -0.5%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.35
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

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