T1 vs FURIA prediction for July 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects FURIA 0 - T1 3. T1 is favored with a 97.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
FURIA
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • MSI
T1
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
FURIAT1
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 91.2% (10,176 games)
Team Profiles
T1
Early
61%
Mid
59%
Late
58%
Elo: 1984 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 14-6 (70%)
FURIA
Elo: 1713 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
T1 winsFURIA wins
0-3
0.0%
1-3
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-0
42.1%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
30.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +2.1%Draft +0.9%Phase -0.8%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- T1 holds a significant Elo advantage (272 pts)
- T1 holds a slight edge in player quality
Market Odds
T1
-20000
Edge: -1.8%
FURIA
+1800
Edge: -55.8%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.38
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →