DEN vs IND prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects IND 111.3 - DEN 118.8. DEN is favored with a 69.7% win probability. The spread is 7.5 and the total is 229.5.
IND
111.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 229.5
DEN
118.8
Projected Score
Win Probability
INDDEN
+7.5
Spread (IND)
229.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.0% (1,350 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
DEN
109119129
IND
101111121
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
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Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
DEN1 OUT
Jamal Murray25.4PPG4.7RPG6.7APG
Nikola Jokic26.3PPG11.9RPG10.3APG
Christian Braun12.8PPG4.5RPG2.6APG
Cameron Johnson11.5PPG3.9RPG2.4APG
Aaron Gordon14.9PPG5.6RPG2.6APG
IND4 OUT
Pascal Siakam23.0PPG6.8RPG3.8APG
Andrew Nembhard17.6PPG2.6RPG7.4APG
Ivica Zubac12.6PPG10.0RPG2.0APG
Aaron Nesmith13.5PPG3.5RPG1.9APG
Kelly Oubre Jr.12.6PPG4.3RPG1.6APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.