NBA Basketball

WAS vs OKC Prediction

November 7, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

WAS vs OKC prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects OKC 117.6 - WAS 105.3. OKC is favored with a 79.6% win probability. The spread is -11.5 and the total is 222.5.

OKC
117.6
Projected Score
VS O/U 222.5
WAS
105.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
79.6%
20.4%
OKCWAS
-11.5
Spread (OKC)
222.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 84.9% (1,350 games)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

WAS
95105115
OKC
108118128
Model Confidence45/100 (MARGINAL)

Model Projection

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Starting Lineups

WAS4 OUT
Kyshawn George16.4PPG4.8RPG4.7APG
Trae Young18.7PPG2.5RPG8.6APG
AJ Dybantsa14.2PPG4.9RPG2.0APG
Alex Sarr14.1PPG7.0RPG2.5APG
Anthony Davis21.4PPG10.4RPG2.6APG
OKC6 OUT
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander30.7PPG4.2RPG5.8APG
Ajay Mitchell15.9PPG3.5RPG3.6APG
Isaiah Hartenstein8.5PPG9.5RPG3.3APG
Jared McCain9.5PPG2.5RPG1.5APG
Kenrich Williams6.5PPG3.5RPG1.3APG

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.

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