HOU vs PHX prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects PHX 108.7 - HOU 115.9. HOU is favored with a 69.2% win probability. The spread is 6.5 and the total is 223.5.
PHX
108.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 223.5
HOU
115.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
PHXHOU
+6.5
Spread (PHX)
223.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.4% (1,350 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
HOU
106116126
PHX
99109119
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
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Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
HOU2 OUT
Amen Thompson17.2PPG7.2RPG4.6APG
Kevin Durant24.0PPG5.4RPG4.1APG
Jabari Smith Jr.16.4PPG6.6RPG2.0APG
Alperen Sengun21.0PPG9.0RPG6.8APG
Fred VanVleet13.7PPG3.6RPG5.8APG
PHX2 OUT
Devin Booker25.9PPG3.6RPG5.7APG
Miles Bridges17.2PPG6.5RPG3.2APG
Dillon Brooks19.4PPG3.7RPG2.1APG
Jalen Green15.9PPG3.4RPG3.0APG
Oso Ighodaro6.6PPG5.1RPG2.6APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.