Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants prediction for October 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects New York Giants 20.1 - Arizona Cardinals 23.6. Arizona Cardinals is favored with a 60.5% win probability. The spread is 2.5 and the total is 44.0.
New York Giants
20.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 44.0
Arizona Cardinals
23.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
New York GiantsArizona Cardinals
+2.5
Spread (New York Giants)
44.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.1% (387 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Arizona Cardinals
162431
New York Giants
132027
Market Lines
Spread
New York Giants +2.5
Total
44.0
Game Conditions
Overcast
61°F6 mph wind
Model Edge
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NFL Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NFL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NFL 2026 season report card.