Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks prediction for October 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Seattle Seahawks 24.4 - Los Angeles Chargers 17.6. Seattle Seahawks is favored with a 70.2% win probability. The spread is -7.0 and the total is 42.5.
Seattle Seahawks
24.4
Projected Score
VS
O/U 42.5
Los Angeles Chargers
17.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
Seattle SeahawksLos Angeles Chargers
-7.0
Spread (Seattle Seahawks)
42.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.4% (387 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Los Angeles Chargers
101825
Seattle Seahawks
172432
Market Lines
Spread
Seattle Seahawks -7.0
Total
42.5
Game Conditions
Overcast
58°F0 mph wind
Model Edge
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NFL Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NFL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NFL 2026 season report card.