1. FC Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction for October 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Eintracht Frankfurt 2.27 - 1. FC Köln 1.61. Eintracht Frankfurt is favored with a 50.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.9..
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.27
Projected Goals
VS
3.9 total
1. FC Köln
1.61
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Eintracht FrankfurtDraw1. FC Köln
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.5% (1,644 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
1. FC Köln
0.81.62.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.52.33.0
Expected Goals (xG)
Eintracht Frankfurt2.27
1. FC Köln1.61
18.1Shots16.3
6.6On Target5.9
5.9Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.1%
Over 1.5
90.9%
Over 2.5
74.4%
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
25.6%
BTTS
50.5%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
Match Context
BUNMedium
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.85
Draw
4.27
1. FC Köln
3.84
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.