Soccer

Levante vs Deportivo La Coruña Prediction

October 16, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Levante vs Deportivo La Coruña prediction for October 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Deportivo La Coruña 1.57 - Levante 1.11. Deportivo La Coruña is favored with a 46.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.7..

Deportivo La Coruña
1.57
Projected Goals
VS 2.7 total
Levante
1.11
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
46.9%
27%
26.0%
Deportivo La CoruñaDrawLevante
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.3% (1,644 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

Levante
0.31.11.9
Deportivo La Coruña
0.81.62.3

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo La Coruña1.57
Levante1.11
16.7Shots16.2
6.1On Target5.8
5.6Corners5.7

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
92.6%
Over 1.5
75.3%
Over 2.5
50.3%
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 2.5
49.7%
BTTS
35.5%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.3%

Match Context

LALCritical
Deportivo La Coruña
2.10
Draw
3.54
Levante
3.62

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.

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