Bournemouth vs Real Sociedad prediction for September 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Real Sociedad 1.46 - Bournemouth 1.52. Bournemouth is favored with a 39.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
Real Sociedad
1.46
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Bournemouth
1.52
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real SociedadDrawBournemouth
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.5% (1,497 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bournemouth
0.71.52.3
Real Sociedad
0.71.52.2
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad1.46
Bournemouth1.52
18.0Shots16.7
6.5On Target6.0
5.9Corners5.8
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.7%
Over 1.5
80.5%
Over 2.5
55.7%
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 2.5
44.3%
BTTS
60.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
Match Context
UELHigh
Real Sociedad
3.04
Draw
3.61
Bournemouth
2.34
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.