Charlotte FC vs Portland Timbers prediction for October 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Portland Timbers 2.06 - Charlotte FC 1.59. Portland Timbers is favored with a 48.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.7..
Portland Timbers
2.06
Projected Goals
VS
3.7 total
Charlotte FC
1.59
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Portland TimbersDrawCharlotte FC
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 63.7% (1,879 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Charlotte FC
0.81.62.4
Portland Timbers
1.32.12.8
Projected
Portland Timbers 2.06 — Charlotte FC 1.59
Actual
Portland Timbers 3 — Charlotte FC 2
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers2.06
Charlotte FC1.59
17.7Shots16.8
6.5On Target6.1
5.7Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.9%
Over 1.5
88.4%
Over 2.5
70.6%
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
29.4%
BTTS
68.8%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Portland Timbers
2.02
Draw
4.23
Charlotte FC
3.31
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.