San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas prediction for October 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects FC Dallas 1.96 - San Jose Earthquakes 1.4. FC Dallas is favored with a 50.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.4..
FC Dallas
1.96
Projected Goals
VS
3.4 total
San Jose Earthquakes
1.4
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
FC DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.9% (1,879 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
San Jose Earthquakes
0.61.42.2
FC Dallas
1.22.02.7
Projected
FC Dallas 1.96 — San Jose Earthquakes 1.4
Actual
FC Dallas 3 — San Jose Earthquakes 0
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.96
San Jose Earthquakes1.40
16.3Shots16.5
5.9On Target6.0
5.7Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.0%
Over 1.5
85.4%
Over 2.5
65.2%
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 2.5
34.8%
BTTS
65.9%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
Match Context
MLSHigh
FC Dallas
1.85
Draw
4.18
San Jose Earthquakes
3.94
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.