St. Louis City SC vs Real Salt Lake prediction for October 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Real Salt Lake 1.8 - St. Louis City SC 1.52. Real Salt Lake is favored with a 43.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Real Salt Lake
1.8
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
St. Louis City SC
1.52
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real Salt LakeDrawSt. Louis City SC
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.9% (1,879 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
St. Louis City SC
0.71.52.3
Real Salt Lake
1.01.82.6
Projected
Real Salt Lake 1.8 — St. Louis City SC 1.52
Actual
Real Salt Lake 3 — St. Louis City SC 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.80
St. Louis City SC1.52
17.2Shots16.5
6.2On Target6.0
5.8Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.8%
Over 1.5
85.0%
Over 2.5
64.5%
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
35.5%
BTTS
66.0%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Real Salt Lake
2.13
Draw
4.06
St. Louis City SC
3.14
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.