Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF prediction for July 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Inter Miami CF 1.43 - Chicago Fire 1.29. Inter Miami CF is favored with a 41.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.7..
Inter Miami CF
1.43
Projected Goals
VS
2.7 total
Chicago Fire
1.29
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Inter Miami CFDrawChicago Fire
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.9% (1,163 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Chicago Fire
0.51.32.1
Inter Miami CF
0.71.42.2
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami CF1.43
Chicago Fire1.29
18.9Shots15.7
6.9On Target5.6
6.0Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.8%
Over 1.5
77.0%
Over 2.5
47.7%
Over 3.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
BTTS
59.2%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Inter Miami CF
2.44
Draw
4.04
Chicago Fire
2.67
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.