Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction for October 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects San Jose Earthquakes 1.71 - Colorado Rapids 1.31. San Jose Earthquakes is favored with a 43.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
San Jose Earthquakes
1.71
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Colorado Rapids
1.31
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
San Jose EarthquakesDrawColorado Rapids
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.7% (1,924 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Colorado Rapids
0.51.32.1
San Jose Earthquakes
0.91.72.5
Projected
San Jose Earthquakes 1.71 — Colorado Rapids 1.31
Actual
San Jose Earthquakes 2 — Colorado Rapids 2
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.71
Colorado Rapids1.31
16.3Shots16.3
5.8On Target5.9
5.7Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
94.5%
Over 1.5
81.1%
Over 2.5
58.2%
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 2.5
41.8%
BTTS
61.7%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
Match Context
MLSMedium
San Jose Earthquakes
2.43
Draw
3.63
Colorado Rapids
2.91
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.