Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC prediction for October 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Nashville SC 1.76 - Philadelphia Union 1.17. Nashville SC is favored with a 49.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Nashville SC
1.76
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Philadelphia Union
1.17
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.5% (1,924 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Philadelphia Union
0.41.21.9
Nashville SC
1.01.82.5
Projected
Nashville SC 1.76 — Philadelphia Union 1.17
Actual
Nashville SC 0 — Philadelphia Union 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Nashville SC1.76
Philadelphia Union1.17
15.5Shots17.9
5.8On Target6.5
5.6Corners6.0
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
94.0%
Over 1.5
79.7%
Over 2.5
56.1%
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 2.5
43.9%
BTTS
59.3%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
Match Context
MLSHigh
Nashville SC
1.79
Draw
4.09
Philadelphia Union
4.29
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.