D.C. United vs Inter Miami CF prediction for October 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Inter Miami CF 2.19 - D.C. United 1.11. Inter Miami CF is favored with a 61.1% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Inter Miami CF
2.19
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
D.C. United
1.11
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Inter Miami CFDrawD.C. United
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 69.6% (1,621 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
D.C. United
0.31.11.9
Inter Miami CF
1.42.23.0
Projected
Inter Miami CF 2.19 — D.C. United 1.11
Actual
Inter Miami CF 4 — D.C. United 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami CF2.19
D.C. United1.11
19.0Shots16.2
6.8On Target5.8
6.0Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.2%
Over 1.5
83.3%
Over 2.5
62.7%
Over 3.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
37.3%
BTTS
61.6%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
10.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Inter Miami CF
1.45
Draw
5.32
D.C. United
6.18
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.