Elche CF vs Rayo Vallecano prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rayo Vallecano 1.85 - Elche CF 1.01. Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 55.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Rayo Vallecano
1.85
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Elche CF
1.01
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Rayo VallecanoDrawElche CF
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.7% (1,756 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Elche CF
0.21.01.8
Rayo Vallecano
1.11.92.6
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Vallecano1.85
Elche CF1.01
17.0Shots16.2
6.2On Target5.8
5.7Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
93.9%
Over 1.5
78.4%
Over 2.5
54.6%
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 2.5
45.4%
BTTS
57.2%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
Match Context
LALMedium
Rayo Vallecano
1.78
Draw
3.90
Elche CF
4.63
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.