Feyenoord vs Real Betis prediction for October 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Real Betis 2.38 - Feyenoord 1.5. Real Betis is favored with a 55.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.9..
Real Betis
2.38
Projected Goals
VS
3.9 total
Feyenoord
1.5
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real BetisDrawFeyenoord
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.8% (1,756 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Feyenoord
0.71.52.3
Real Betis
1.62.43.2
Projected
Real Betis 2.38 — Feyenoord 1.5
Actual
Real Betis 1 — Feyenoord 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Betis2.38
Feyenoord1.50
15.6Shots16.2
6.0On Target5.7
5.5Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.5%
Over 1.5
90.4%
Over 2.5
74.4%
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
25.6%
BTTS
72.7%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
Match Context
UCLHigh
Real Betis
1.65
Draw
4.65
Feyenoord
4.66
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.