Soccer

Inter Miami CF vs CF Montreal Prediction

July 25, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Inter Miami CF vs CF Montreal prediction for July 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects CF Montreal 1.37 - Inter Miami CF 1.4. Inter Miami CF is favored with a 39.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..

CF Montreal
1.37
Projected Goals
VS 2.8 total
Inter Miami CF
1.4
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
38.0%
23%
39.4%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami CF
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.3% (1,164 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

Inter Miami CF
0.61.42.2
CF Montreal
0.61.42.1

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Montreal1.37
Inter Miami CF1.40
19.6Shots15.9
7.1On Target5.6
6.2Corners5.6

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
78.0%
Over 2.5
47.6%
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
52.4%
BTTS
60.0%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%

Match Context

MLSMedium
CF Montreal
2.90
Draw
4.06
Inter Miami CF
2.26

AI Intelligence Analysis

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AI Intelligence Analysis
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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.

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