Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City SC Prediction

September 13, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City SC prediction for September 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects St. Louis City SC 1.72 - Minnesota United FC 1.33. St. Louis City SC is favored with a 48.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..

St. Louis City SC
1.72
Projected Goals
VS 3.0 total
Minnesota United FC
1.33
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
48.6%
21%
30.8%
St. Louis City SCDrawMinnesota United FC
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.0% (1,497 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

Minnesota United FC
0.61.32.1
St. Louis City SC
0.91.72.5

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Louis City SC1.72
Minnesota United FC1.33
19.5Shots16.4
7.1On Target5.9
6.1Corners5.7

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
96.7%
Over 1.5
80.8%
Over 2.5
55.7%
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 2.5
44.3%
BTTS
61.1%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%

Match Context

MLSMedium
St. Louis City SC
2.05
Draw
3.94
Minnesota United FC
3.42

AI Intelligence Analysis

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.

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