Soccer

SC Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

September 19, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

SC Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction for September 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Eintracht Frankfurt 2.0 - SC Freiburg 1.22. Eintracht Frankfurt is favored with a 53.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..

Eintracht Frankfurt
2.0
Projected Goals
VS 3.2 total
SC Freiburg
1.22
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
53.8%
24%
21.7%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawSC Freiburg
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.5% (1,497 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

SC Freiburg
0.41.22.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.22.02.8
FINALEintracht Frankfurt 2 — SC Freiburg 2
Projected
Eintracht Frankfurt 2.0 — SC Freiburg 1.22
Actual
Eintracht Frankfurt 2 — SC Freiburg 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Eintracht Frankfurt2.00
SC Freiburg1.22
16.3Shots14.3
5.8On Target5.3
5.7Corners5.4

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
96.2%
Over 1.5
81.9%
Over 2.5
60.6%
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
39.4%
BTTS
56.8%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%

Match Context

BUNHigh
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.75
Draw
3.70
SC Freiburg
4.74

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.

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