Harry Wendelken vs Gauthier Onclin prediction for October 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Gauthier Onclin 0 - Harry Wendelken 0. Harry Wendelken is favored with a 61.4% win probability.
Gauthier Onclin
1675
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Harry Wendelken
1722
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Gauthier OnclinHarry Wendelken
Hard
Surface
Brussels
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.9% (19,157 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Brussels
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Harry Wendelken
Gauthier Onclin
Harry Wendelken leads by 47 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Harry Wendelken SPW
58.7%
Below tour avg
Gauthier Onclin SPW
56.4%
Below tour avg
● Harry Wendelken has a slight serve edge (+2.3%)
Odds & Edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Harry Wendelken has a moderate 47-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Harry Wendelken has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded TENNIS 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the TENNIS 2026 season report card.