Viktor Durasovic vs Alexander Shevchenko prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation projects Alexander Shevchenko 0 - Viktor Durasovic 0. Alexander Shevchenko is favored with a 78.5% win probability.
Alexander Shevchenko
1756
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Viktor Durasovic
1541
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Alexander ShevchenkoViktor Durasovic
Hard
Surface
Stockholm
Tournament
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 77.1% (9,799 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Stockholm
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Viktor Durasovic
Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko leads by 215 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Viktor Durasovic SPW
61.7%
Below tour avg
Alexander Shevchenko SPW
62.7%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Odds & Edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Alexander Shevchenko holds a commanding 215-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Alexander Shevchenko has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Alexander Shevchenko at 78%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · ATP
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
More Projections Today
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded TENNIS 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the TENNIS 2026 season report card.