Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Detry, Thomas prediction for July 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Detry, Thomas 29 - Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 109. Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus is favored with a 62.6% win probability. The spread is -0.29.
Detry, Thomas
+0.50
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • The Open Championship
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.21
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Detry, ThomasNeergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+104
Best Odds
+27.6%
Edge
2.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
102109116
Detry, Thomas
222936
Tournament Context
Event
The Open Championship
Course
Royal Birkdale Golf Club
Field
156 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
71°F
Conditions
harder (+0.8)
Player Profile — Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
Strokes Gained
+0.21/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.044 SG adj
Expected Finish
109th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus
+0.21 SG
EF 109th
Skill Gap
-0.29 SG/round
tight edge for Detry, Thomas
Detry, Thomas
+0.50 SG
EF 29th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
62.6%
Books Say
49.0%
Edge
+27.6%
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus vs Detry, Thomas: Model gives Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 62.6% win probability vs 49.0% implied (+27.6% edge). Skill advantage: -0.29 SG/round. Expected finish: 109.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus 62.6%
+27.6 pts
Spread
-0.3
+27.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →