Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming prediction for August 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Bilibili Gaming 2 - Top Esports 0. Bilibili Gaming is favored with a 81.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Bilibili Gaming
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LPL
Top Esports
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Bilibili GamingTop Esports
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.5% (2,550 games)
Team Profiles
Top Esports
Early
66%
Mid
67%
Late
67%
Elo: 1815 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Bilibili Gaming
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1951 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Score Distribution
Top Esports winsBilibili Gaming wins
0-2
57.3%
1-2
24.5%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Top Esports
+165
Bilibili Gaming
-220
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
More Projections Today
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.