Team Heretics vs SK Gaming prediction for August 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects SK Gaming 1 - Team Heretics 2. SK Gaming is favored with a 51.7% win probability. SK Gaming wins more simulations despite the lower average score. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
SK Gaming
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LEC
Team Heretics
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SK GamingTeam Heretics
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.2% (2,550 games)
Team Profiles
Team Heretics
Early
35%
Mid
36%
Late
37%
Elo: 1203 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-9 (10%)
SK Gaming
Early
36%
Mid
37%
Late
38%
Elo: 1222 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-7 (30%)
Score Distribution
Team Heretics winsSK Gaming wins
0-2
27.0%
1-2
24.7%
2-0
20.9%
2-1
27.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Heretics
+160
SK Gaming
-182
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.25
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.