DET vs SEA prediction for August 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects SEA 2.5 - DET 3.1. DET is favored with a 55.0% win probability. The run line is 1.5 and the total is 7.5. Model projects 5.6 total runs.
SEA
2.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 7.5
DET
3.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
SEADET
+1.5
Run Line (SEA)
7.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.5% (3,107 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
DET
135
SEA
124
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Framber Valdez L
DET
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
SI45%94 mph9% whiff
CU29%78 mph30% whiff
CH19%89 mph21% whiff
Bryce Miller R
SEA
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF43%96 mph17% whiff
FS24%85 mph30% whiff
SL11%88 mph29% whiff
Weather Impact
T-Mobile Park
75°F6 mph windRoof: retractable
HR: 1.027 Total: 1.014
neutral
Bullpen Comparison
DET
4.46ERA
4.61FIP
8.39K/9
4.42BB/9
1.38WHIP
SEA
3.31ERA
3.87FIP
8.92K/9
3.38BB/9
1.26WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
DET F5
1.5 runs
42.5% win
SEA F5
1.1 runs
31.0% win
F5 Total
2.6
NRFI
70.0%
YRFI
30.0%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.53
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
DET8 injured
Jackson Jobe SP60-DAY-IL
Justin Verlander SP60-DAY-IL
Wenceel Perez RF60-DAY-IL
Will Vest RP60-DAY-IL
Matt Vierling CF10-DAY-IL
Jack Flaherty SP15-DAY-IL
+2 more
SEA7 injured
Luke Raley RF10-DAY-IL
Carlos Vargas RP60-DAY-IL
J.P. Crawford SS10-DAY-IL
Cooper Criswell RP60-DAY-IL
Will Wilson 3B60-DAY-IL
Matt Brash RP15-DAY-IL
+1 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.