MIN vs CWS prediction for September 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects CWS 5.0 - MIN 5.2. CWS is favored with a 50.5% win probability. CWS wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The run line is -1.5 and the total is 8.5. Model projects 10.2 total runs.
CWS
5.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 8.5
MIN
5.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
CWSMIN
-1.5
Run Line (CWS)
8.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.4% (3,752 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
MIN
357
CWS
357
Projected
CWS 5.0 — MIN 5.2
Actual
CWS 10 — MIN 1
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Bailey Ober R
MIN
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
CH34%83 mph21% whiff
FF32%88 mph14% whiff
SL17%82 mph12% whiff
Bryan Hudson L
CWS
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF67%92 mph21% whiff
ST26%80 mph24% whiff
SI4%90 mph27% whiff
Weather Impact
Rate Field
74°F10 mph wind
HR: 1.039 Total: 1.020
thin air
Bullpen Comparison
MIN
4.34ERA
4.05FIP
9.12K/9
4.01BB/9
1.38WHIP
CWS
4.17ERA
4.47FIP
8.88K/9
4.53BB/9
1.36WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
MIN F5
2.7 runs
39.0% win
CWS F5
3.0 runs
46.7% win
F5 Total
5.7
NRFI
48.0%
YRFI
52.0%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
1.21
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
MIN8 injured
Joe Ryan SP15-DAY-IL
Byron Buxton CF10-DAY-IL
Austin Martin RF10-DAY-IL
Mike Paredes SP60-DAY-IL
Cole Sands RP60-DAY-IL
David Festa SP60-DAY-IL
+2 more
CWSHealthy
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.