FINAL: MIL 125 — CHI 132. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected MIL 120.2 - CHI 117.4 (MIL at 57.7% win probability). The spread is -1.5 and the total is 239.5.
MIL
120.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 239.5
CHI
117.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
MILCHI
-1.5
Spread (MIL)
239.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
CHIMIL L5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.4% (1,219 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
CHI
107117127
MIL
110120130
Projected
MIL 120.2 — CHI 117.4
Actual
MIL 125 — CHI 132
Pick Results
MIL MLmlLOSS-0.50u
Starting Lineups
CHI1 OUT
Josh Giddey16.1PPG8.2RPG9.0APG
Norman Powell21.3PPG3.6RPG2.4APG
Matas Buzelis16.1PPG5.8RPG1.9APG
Caleb Wilson15.5PPG4.2RPG2.3APG
Isaac Okoro8.9PPG2.6RPG1.6APG
MILHealthy
Ryan Rollins16.8PPG4.7RPG5.4APG
Tyler Herro20.7PPG4.6RPG4.4APG
Jaime Jaquez Jr.15.8PPG5.1RPG4.5APG
AJ Green10.1PPG2.6RPG1.9APG
Myles Turner11.9PPG5.3RPG1.5APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
NEUTRAL
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
MIL 57.7%
+1.3 pts
Spread
-1.5
+1.3 pts
Total
239.5
-2.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.