DET vs MIA prediction for October 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects MIA 116.0 - DET 119.4. DET is favored with a 58.1% win probability. The spread is 1.5 and the total is 236.5.
MIA
116.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 236.5
DET
119.4
Projected Score
Win Probability
MIADET
+1.5
Spread (MIA)
236.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.4% (1,219 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
DET
109119129
MIA
106116126
Model Projection
🔒
Premium Analysis Available
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Unlock PremiumStarting Lineups
DETHealthy
Cade Cunningham23.8PPG5.5RPG9.8APG
Jalen Duren19.7PPG10.4RPG1.9APG
Duncan Robinson12.7PPG2.6RPG2.1APG
John Collins13.1PPG5.3RPG1.0APG
Ausar Thompson9.9PPG6.1RPG3.2APG
MIAHealthy
Bam Adebayo19.8PPG9.8RPG3.2APG
Andrew Wiggins15.1PPG4.7RPG2.6APG
Giannis Antetokounmpo28.0PPG9.5RPG5.2APG
Davion Mitchell9.4PPG2.5RPG6.8APG
Pelle Larsson10.8PPG3.5RPG3.4APG
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NBA 2026 season report card.