Jagiellonia Białystok vs PFC Levski Sofia prediction for November 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects PFC Levski Sofia 1.46 - Jagiellonia Białystok 1.02. PFC Levski Sofia is favored with a 46.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.5..
PFC Levski Sofia
1.46
Projected Goals
VS
2.5 total
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.02
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
PFC Levski SofiaDrawJagiellonia Białystok
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 66.4% (1,947 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Jagiellonia Białystok
0.21.01.8
PFC Levski Sofia
0.71.52.2
Projected
PFC Levski Sofia 1.46 — Jagiellonia Białystok 1.02
Actual
PFC Levski Sofia 1 — Jagiellonia Białystok 0
Expected Goals (xG)
PFC Levski Sofia1.46
Jagiellonia Białystok1.02
15.8Shots16.1
5.6On Target5.7
5.6Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
90.8%
Over 1.5
71.8%
Over 2.5
45.3%
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 2.5
54.7%
BTTS
54.3%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
Match Context
UELHigh
PFC Levski Sofia
2.05
Draw
3.41
Jagiellonia Białystok
4.00
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.