TSG Hoffenheim vs Crystal Palace prediction for November 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Crystal Palace 1.94 - TSG Hoffenheim 1.26. Crystal Palace is favored with a 52.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..
Crystal Palace
1.94
Projected Goals
VS
3.2 total
TSG Hoffenheim
1.26
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Crystal PalaceDrawTSG Hoffenheim
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 66.9% (1,947 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
TSG Hoffenheim
0.51.32.0
Crystal Palace
1.21.92.7
Projected
Crystal Palace 1.94 — TSG Hoffenheim 1.26
Actual
Crystal Palace 1 — TSG Hoffenheim 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Crystal Palace1.94
TSG Hoffenheim1.26
16.9Shots17.4
6.1On Target6.4
5.8Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.3%
Over 1.5
83.5%
Over 2.5
62.1%
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 2.5
37.9%
BTTS
62.7%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
Match Context
UELHigh
Crystal Palace
1.79
Draw
4.21
TSG Hoffenheim
4.24
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.