Omonoia FC vs NEC Nijmegen prediction for November 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects NEC Nijmegen 1.87 - Omonoia FC 1.12. NEC Nijmegen is favored with a 54.3% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
NEC Nijmegen
1.87
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Omonoia FC
1.12
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
NEC NijmegenDrawOmonoia FC
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 66.4% (1,947 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Omonoia FC
0.31.11.9
NEC Nijmegen
1.11.92.6
Projected
NEC Nijmegen 1.87 — Omonoia FC 1.12
Actual
NEC Nijmegen 3 — Omonoia FC 1
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC Nijmegen1.87
Omonoia FC1.12
15.7Shots16.2
5.6On Target5.8
5.6Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
94.4%
Over 1.5
80.6%
Over 2.5
57.5%
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 2.5
42.5%
BTTS
56.5%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
Match Context
UELHigh
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Draw
4.21
Omonoia FC
4.51
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.