Real Betis vs Celta Vigo prediction for October 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Celta Vigo 1.25 - Real Betis 1.41. Real Betis is favored with a 39.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.7..
Celta Vigo
1.25
Projected Goals
VS
2.7 total
Real Betis
1.41
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Celta VigoDrawReal Betis
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 82.3% (1,879 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Real Betis
0.61.42.2
Celta Vigo
0.51.22.0
Projected
Celta Vigo 1.25 — Real Betis 1.41
Actual
Celta Vigo 0 — Real Betis 0
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo1.25
Real Betis1.41
15.8Shots17.6
5.7On Target6.4
5.5Corners5.8
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
92.6%
Over 1.5
74.8%
Over 2.5
49.5%
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 2.5
50.5%
BTTS
51.0%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
Match Context
LALMedium
Celta Vigo
3.22
Draw
3.48
Real Betis
2.32
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.