Bilibili vs Top Esports prediction for August 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Top Esports 0 - Bilibili 2. Bilibili is favored with a 73.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Top Esports
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
Bilibili
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Top EsportsBilibili
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.5% (2,550 games)
Team Profiles
Bilibili
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500
Top Esports
Early
66%
Mid
67%
Late
67%
Elo: 1815 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
Bilibili winsTop Esports wins
0-2
11.0%
1-2
15.5%
2-0
41.7%
2-1
31.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Bilibili
-216
Top Esports
+171
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.