CWS vs DET prediction for August 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects DET 3.9 - CWS 4.9. CWS is favored with a 56.8% win probability. The run line is -1.5 and the total is 8.5. Model projects 8.8 total runs.
DET
3.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 8.5
CWS
4.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
DETCWS
-1.5
Run Line (DET)
8.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.1% (3,277 games)
Projected Runs Range 10th – 90th percentile
CWS
357
DET
246
Projected
DET 3.9 — CWS 4.9
Actual
DET 5 — CWS 9
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Sean Newcomb L
CWS
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF36%94 mph29% whiff
SV33%83 mph28% whiff
SI23%93 mph6% whiff
Jackson Jobe R
DET
usagewhiffbar labels show usage · mph
FF32%97 mph15% whiff
SL30%89 mph22% whiff
CH16%85 mph44% whiff
Weather Impact
Comerica Park
84°F8 mph wind
HR: 1.001 Total: 0.997
thin air, 8mph in
Bullpen Comparison
CWS
3.76ERA
4.17FIP
9.02K/9
4.60BB/9
1.35WHIP
DET
4.33ERA
4.55FIP
8.36K/9
4.40BB/9
1.38WHIP
Betting Edges
First 5 Innings & NRFI
CWS F5
2.7 runs
52.5% win
DET F5
1.9 runs
31.5% win
F5 Total
4.6
NRFI
56.2%
YRFI
43.8%
Avg 1st Inn Runs
0.92
HR Spotlight
Injury Report
CWSHealthy
DET8 injured
James Outman CF7-DAY IL
Riley Greene LF10-DAY-IL
Wenceel Perez RF60-DAY-IL
Will Vest RP60-DAY-IL
Kerry Carpenter RF10-DAY-IL
Brant Hurter RP60-DAY-IL
+2 more
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets MLB Baseball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded MLB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the MLB 2026 season report card.