Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionov prediction for July 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jurij Rodionov 0 - Clement Tabur 0. Jurij Rodionov is favored with a 53.4% win probability.
Jurij Rodionov
1553
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Clement Tabur
1535
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Jurij RodionovClement Tabur
Hard
Surface
Swiss Open Gstaad
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.7% (11,887 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Swiss Open Gstaad
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Clement Tabur
Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov leads by 18 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Clement Tabur SPW
63.2%
Below tour avg
Jurij Rodionov SPW
65.0%
Above tour avg
● Jurij Rodionov has a slight serve edge (+1.8%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Clement Tabur ML
-145
Model: 47%
Edge: -12.6%
Jurij Rodionov ML
+129
Model: 53%
Edge: +9.8%
Model Projection
Jurij Rodionov ML +129 · +9.8% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (18-point Elo gap)
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Jurij Rodionov has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Jurij Rodionov 53.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →