Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic prediction for July 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Miomir Kecmanovic 0 - Kilian Feldbausch 0. Kilian Feldbausch is favored with a 55.8% win probability.
Miomir Kecmanovic
1457
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Kilian Feldbausch
1650
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Miomir KecmanovicKilian Feldbausch
Hard
Surface
Swiss Open Gstaad
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.5% (11,674 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Swiss Open Gstaad
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Kilian Feldbausch
Miomir Kecmanovic
Kilian Feldbausch leads by 193 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Kilian Feldbausch SPW
63.6%
Above tour avg
Miomir Kecmanovic SPW
59.9%
Below tour avg
● Kilian Feldbausch has a significant serve advantage (+3.7%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Kilian Feldbausch ML
+219
Model: 56%
Edge: +24.4%
Miomir Kecmanovic ML
-252
Model: 44%
Edge: -27.4%
Model Projection
Kilian Feldbausch ML +219 · +24.4% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Kilian Feldbausch holds a commanding 193-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Kilian Feldbausch has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kilian Feldbausch 55.8%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →