Federico Cina vs Quentin Halys prediction for July 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Quentin Halys 0 - Federico Cina 0. Quentin Halys is favored with a 56.4% win probability.
Quentin Halys
1430
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Federico Cina
1439
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Quentin HalysFederico Cina
Hard
Surface
Swiss Open Gstaad
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.8% (11,887 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Swiss Open Gstaad
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Federico Cina
Quentin Halys
Federico Cina leads by 9 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Federico Cina SPW
64.9%
Above tour avg
Quentin Halys SPW
65.2%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Federico Cina ML
+125
Model: 44%
Edge: -0.9%
Quentin Halys ML
-150
Model: 56%
Edge: -3.6%
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (9-point Elo gap)
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Quentin Halys has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Quentin Halys 56.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →