Clanton, Luke vs Horschel, Billy prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Horschel, Billy 51 - Clanton, Luke 97. Clanton, Luke is favored with a 54.0% win probability. The spread is -0.5.
Horschel, Billy
-0.09
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Clanton, Luke
-0.60
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Horschel, BillyClanton, Luke
+126
Best Odds
+22.0%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Clanton, Luke
9097104
Horschel, Billy
445158
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Clanton, Luke
Strokes Gained
-0.60/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.066 SG adj
Expected Finish
97th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Clanton, Luke
-0.60 SG
EF 97th
Skill Gap
-0.50 SG/round
meaningful edge for Horschel, Billy
Horschel, Billy
-0.09 SG
EF 51th · Below Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.0%
Books Say
44.2%
Edge
+22.0%
Clanton, Luke vs Horschel, Billy: Model gives Clanton, Luke 54.0% win probability vs 44.2% implied (+22.0% edge). Skill advantage: -0.50 SG/round. Expected finish: 97.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Clanton, Luke 54.0%
+22.0 pts
Spread
-0.5
+22.0 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →