MacIntyre, Robert vs Thomas, Justin prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Thomas, Justin 0 - MacIntyre, Robert 52. MacIntyre, Robert is favored with a 55.5% win probability. The spread is 0.14.
Thomas, Justin
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.24
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Thomas, JustinMacIntyre, Robert
+115
Best Odds
+17.8%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — MacIntyre, Robert
Strokes Gained
+1.24/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
neutral
+0.119 SG adj
Expected Finish
52th / 132
Matchup Analysis
MacIntyre, Robert
+1.24 SG
EF 52th
Skill Gap
+0.14 SG/round
tight edge for MacIntyre, Robert
Thomas, Justin
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
55.5%
Books Say
46.5%
Edge
+17.8%
MacIntyre, Robert vs Thomas, Justin: Model gives MacIntyre, Robert 55.5% win probability vs 46.5% implied (+19.3% edge). Skill advantage: +0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 52. AI: poor recent form.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
MacIntyre, Robert 55.5%
+17.8 pts
Spread
+0.1
+17.8 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Golf 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Golf 2026 season report card.