Meissner, Mac vs Greyserman, Max prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Greyserman, Max 0 - Meissner, Mac 55. Meissner, Mac is favored with a 64.4% win probability. The spread is 0.09.
Greyserman, Max
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Meissner, Mac
+0.65
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Greyserman, MaxMeissner, Mac
-120
Best Odds
+18.1%
Edge
1.5u ELITE
Sizing
Tournament Context
Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)
Player Profile — Meissner, Mac
Strokes Gained
+0.65/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.645 SG adj
Expected Finish
55th / 132
Matchup Analysis
Meissner, Mac
+0.65 SG
EF 55th
Skill Gap
+0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Greyserman, Max
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
64.4%
Books Say
54.5%
Edge
+18.1%
Meissner, Mac vs Greyserman, Max: Model gives Meissner, Mac 64.4% win probability vs 54.5% implied (+18.1% edge). Expected finish: 55.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Meissner, Mac 64.4%
+18.1 pts
Spread
+0.1
+18.1 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →