PGA Tour Golf

Coody, Pierceson vs Bhatia, Akshay Prediction

May 28, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Coody, Pierceson vs Bhatia, Akshay prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bhatia, Akshay 39 - Coody, Pierceson 48. Coody, Pierceson is favored with a 59.9% win probability. The spread is -0.48.

Bhatia, Akshay
+1.08
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Charles Schwab Challenge
Coody, Pierceson
+0.61
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
40.1%
59.9%
Bhatia, AkshayCoody, Pierceson
+105
Best Odds
+22.9%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
FINALBhatia, Akshay (T80) def Coody, Pierceson (T100)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Coody, Pierceson
414855
Bhatia, Akshay
323946

Tournament Context

Event
Charles Schwab Challenge
Course
Colonial CC
Field
132 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
harder (+0.4)

Player Profile — Coody, Pierceson

Strokes Gained
+0.61/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.901 SG adj
Expected Finish
48th / 132

Matchup Analysis

Coody, Pierceson
+0.61 SG
EF 48th
Skill Gap
-0.48 SG/round
meaningful edge for Bhatia, Akshay
Bhatia, Akshay
+1.08 SG
EF 39th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
59.9%
Books Say
48.8%
Edge
+22.9%

Coody, Pierceson vs Bhatia, Akshay: Model gives Coody, Pierceson 59.9% win probability vs 48.8% implied (+22.9% edge). Skill advantage: -0.48 SG/round. Expected finish: 48.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Coody, Pierceson 59.9%
+22.9 pts
Spread
-0.5
+22.9 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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